Gigantic-Shelf
0xf6e944badae2fa106884b9ac36ba4e81b1e597f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$49.20
Total PnL
$-552.53
Realised
$-6.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.20
$-13.20
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
2556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET
541 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
400 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET
35 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$18.10Jun 26, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.13Jun 25, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$23.91May 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET$2.09May 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET$20.59May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET$18.27May 11, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET$15.23May 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET$13.78May 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET$1.25May 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET$10.26May 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET$407.29May 11, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET$413.02May 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET$187.11May 8, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET$20.58May 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET$20.58May 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET$20.58May 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET$30.35May 8, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $129.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.