Useful-Cleric
0xf6f687d9c728a4fc5590d71e2e53b9d418e20e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$167.52
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$140.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?
1343 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$87.29
$-6.71
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
448 shares @ 16.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.56
$-62.18
- YES
Will Brazil finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
448 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.81
$-70.93
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
939 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.35
$-101.95
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
939 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.41
$-102.89
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
939 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.47
$-103.83
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
939 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.47
$-103.83
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
939 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.47
$-103.83
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
781 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.39
$-86.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$12.00Jun 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$4.69Jun 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.41Jun 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.07Jun 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.65Jun 18, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$6.00Jun 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.80Jun 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.75Jun 18, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$15.00Jun 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$15.04Jun 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$8.81Jun 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$7.60Jun 18, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$38.00Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$7.57Jun 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.69Jun 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$19.56Jun 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$10.43Jun 18, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$505.95Jun 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.75Jun 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$159.81Jun 18, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.