Dapper-Daikon
0xf6f79fb0b579918f101bb6d0a264a492ce9de0da
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.67
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$100.86
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?
494 shares @ 10.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.42
$-45.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 28?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.25
$-9.75
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
10454 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.91
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?
5430 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-204.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?
3995 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-21.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or higher on May 6?
3659 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-32.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?
3527 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on May 6?
2900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.25Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?$0.94Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29?$0.80Jul 28, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?$0.04Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or below on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?$0.03Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or below on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$0.50Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$0.61Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$0.50Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or below on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 29?$0.50Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?$0.03Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?$0.03Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or below on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.