Absolute-Legal
0xf6fa032839cf515308fbfdd0ca72080f427307e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-212.51
Realised
$23.27
Win rate
8%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?
296 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
160 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 30?
124 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 2?
82 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 2?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 13?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 1?
42 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?
35 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 16?$9.50Aug 16, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 16?$4.50Aug 16, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 15?$5.99Aug 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 15?$2.94Aug 15, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?$5.94Aug 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 15?$3.10Aug 15, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?$3.12Aug 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 15?$2.88Aug 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 15?$2.05Aug 14, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 15?$2.65Aug 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 15?$2.80Aug 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 15?$1.62Aug 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 14?$2.80Aug 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 13?$15.16Aug 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 14?$5.56Aug 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?$3.11Aug 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 13?$0.00Aug 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 13?$1.32Aug 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 14?$2.77Aug 13, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
74 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.