Scholarly-Touch
0xf70f2562dccbdafbdb1deea9e75eecc331cdd753
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-81.28
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11010 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$489.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
144 shares @ 52.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$144.28
$68.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$100.00
$66.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$19.99
$13.99
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
14328 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
9424 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-860.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
6145 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
4253 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.