New-Quiet
0xf72c90c48c3ccdf9f2239c7ac1b309d0d282f818
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$666.74
Total PnL
$-505.77
Realised
$-89.49
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40276 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$422.89
$-10.91
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
55566 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$194.48
$-156.47
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7294 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.53
$3.50
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6558 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.84
$-16.39
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.50
$-23.75
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.50
$-28.75
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.50
$-29.75
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.50
$-30.75
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.50
$-30.75
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.50
$-30.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$175.24Jul 14, 17:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.52Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-1.5)$0.00Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $175.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.