Anguished-Stay
0xf7325a05f013e209eed6fb55d71e22592a32bf42
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
71 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Ass" in October?
8 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.44Nov 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.20Nov 7, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.55Nov 7, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?$8.93Nov 7, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.95Nov 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.48Nov 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.50Nov 4, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.08Nov 4, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ravens trade for Shedeur Sanders?$0.03Oct 5, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AL East win the 2025 MLB World Series?$0.86Oct 5, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.27Oct 3, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ass" in October?$4.00Oct 3, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?$15.22Oct 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?$14.00Sep 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$13.59Sep 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$3.00Sep 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$13.40Sep 29, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AL East win the 2025 MLB World Series?$1.00Sep 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ravens trade for Shedeur Sanders?$1.00Sep 29, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Escalator" or "Teleprompter" this week? (September 29 - October 5)$11.31Sep 29, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.