Kindhearted-Memory
0xf7474a9014ae88f63c4394eb592e05362b23f842
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Was Trump hacked?
17911 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-311.48
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
17615 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Solana hit $250 in March?
4450 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-299.98
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
4198 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-501.99
- YES
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
3467 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-548.04
- YES
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
1996 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-49.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?
1950 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
1800 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-182.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
1519 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-427.14
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1483 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-49.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$18.86Jul 12, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.89Jun 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$3.05Jun 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Apr 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Apr 25, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$480.00Apr 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Apr 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Apr 24, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$7.58Apr 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$24.56Apr 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$7.13Apr 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$10.00Mar 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$43.63Mar 4, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?$35.80Mar 4, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$34.45Mar 4, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$9.93Mar 4, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$57.20Mar 4, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$13.84Mar 4, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$17.14Mar 4, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.