Lawful-Median
0xf756de47a0a02909bfbe9795cfbd9b8bb13a29e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$643.76
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
401 shares @ 49.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$194.62
$-5.38
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
239 shares @ 41.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$173.46
$73.46
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
110 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.59
$3.59
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1991 shares @ 12.6¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$97.57
$-152.43
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.00
$-50.00
- NO
US bank failure by June 30?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.52
$4.52
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
22566 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-104.66
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
7776 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
3233 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by June 30?$20.27May 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$41.13May 27, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$102.48May 8, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$112.77May 8, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$102.76May 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.47May 8, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$131.94May 8, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$142.42Apr 5, 15:23 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.04Mar 30, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 29, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$142.67Mar 25, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$100.00Mar 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$100.00Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$574.71Mar 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$500.00Mar 3, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $177.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".