Quarterly-Neon
0xf78884ba96b1765cbec0861f73098d16ef29e5da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$118.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
1442 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
1263 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
684 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
590 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
459 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
406 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-196.88
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
386 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-102.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
318 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-138.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$31.13Jun 11, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$20.79Jun 11, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.56Jun 11, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$103.72Jun 11, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$174.40May 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$6.58May 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.48May 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$20.95May 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$47.00May 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$176.03May 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$6.55May 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.82May 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.01May 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.66May 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$69.68May 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$20.08May 3, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$166.02May 3, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 27, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$72.00Mar 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$100.00Feb 26, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $53.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.