Official-Note
0xf799d681e317c1bab39ebe64941f575a9630945c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$320.24
Total PnL
$-632.33
Realised
$164.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$284.96
$-115.04
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.28
$-64.72
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
899 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-198.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
427 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
419 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 6AM ET
285 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
184 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-49.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$204.79May 28, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$204.81May 26, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$20.00Feb 2, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Feb 2, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$100.00Feb 2, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$202.31Feb 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$330.17Feb 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Feb 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Feb 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jan 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3.60Jan 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$20.00Jan 20, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jan 20, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$20.00Jan 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.86Jan 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$20.00Jan 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$19.99Jan 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$19.15Jan 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$50.00Jan 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 1PM ET$118.36Jan 19, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $90.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".