Palatable-Rent
0xf79dae85c6a4206d47438e6e13c447ef058ed1ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$38.21
Total PnL
$-2.62
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.00
$9.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
1 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$3.00Jul 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$4.00Jul 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$8.00Jul 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$1.01Jul 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.01Jul 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.01Jul 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.88Jul 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.91Jul 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.95Jul 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.91Jul 2, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.12Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.19Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.27Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.13Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by June 30?$4.21Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$5.15Jul 2, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.