Fair-Waiver
0xf79e3ae4952139f0919f9911743ddec1023e6c70
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$53.19
Total PnL
$-383.66
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$53.19
$3.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
128 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
81 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
73 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-23?
54 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
46 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.09May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$5.00Apr 26, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Mar 10, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.90Mar 10, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)$0.00Dec 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Celtics$50.00Dec 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Celtics$50.00Dec 2, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)$0.00Dec 2, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)$113.64Dec 2, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$2.90Dec 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$29.00Dec 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$29.39Dec 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)$50.00Dec 1, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$29.00Dec 1, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?$19.23Nov 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?$3.84Nov 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?$10.00Nov 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?$1.00Nov 24, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?$1.00Nov 24, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $13.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".