Silly-Railing
0xf7a167c19012e78363ccc99e102794c86109ce01
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$487.28
Total PnL
$-113.14
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
378 shares @ 50.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$79.32
$-111.82
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 63.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$62.00
$-1.50
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
55 shares @ 90.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.45
$-1.55
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.75
$6.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
56 shares @ 89.3¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$46.34
$-3.66
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
58 shares @ 85.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.87
$-6.13
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
190 shares @ 18.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$31.35
$-3.65
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
60 shares @ 30.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.30
$2.80
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
20 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$5.30
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
79 shares @ 19.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.75
$4.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.60May 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.60May 12, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.50May 11, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.70May 11, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.78May 11, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$123.63May 9, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$7.00May 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 5, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$57.81May 5, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$0.29May 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.51May 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00May 3, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$0.67May 2, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$1.84May 1, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02May 1, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$8.29Apr 28, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$3.96Apr 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$3.96Apr 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$0.57Apr 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.26Apr 28, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".