Worthy-Sensibility
0xf7bd67da214e5f2acde7255e9522a2aecc592d46
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-26.46
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?
113120 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-352.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?
71103 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-234.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
1526 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
836 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
735 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?
728 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
521 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
508 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?
471 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
388 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.93May 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$8.00Mar 27, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$3.00Mar 27, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$8.00Feb 23, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$5.00Feb 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$5.00Feb 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$10.00Feb 7, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$5.00Feb 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$5.00Feb 6, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$10.00Feb 6, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$20.51Feb 6, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$21.33Feb 5, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$20.00Feb 5, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$16.00Feb 5, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$14.00Feb 5, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$10.00Feb 5, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.