Wrong-Turn
0xf7c149c522fb44b8fbd3291b53c23b878358dd11
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-775.19
Realised
$-27.05
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
837 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$836.83
$435.15
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
344 shares @ 87.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$343.84
$43.84
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
277 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$264.50
$18.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
495 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$247.46
$-9.90
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
808 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.37
$-68.70
- CROATIA
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
1217 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
786 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-142.23
- YES
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
573 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-113.84
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
572 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-190.47
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
400 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$152.11Jul 6, 22:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116.58Jul 2, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $147.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.