Ornery-Fedelini
0xf7ef9ee582d967c4432805cb833a600fdf8f79d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$370.49
Total PnL
$-338.37
Realised
$-80.72
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
271 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.75
$-0.62
- NO
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
75 shares @ 98.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.85
$-4.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
35 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.25
$0.42
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.54
$-8.58
- NO
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.10
$-6.00
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
668 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-145.62
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
248 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-13.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
221 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?
118 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-68.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$21.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$121.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$143.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$171.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$246.00Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$5.77Feb 8, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$11.53Feb 8, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$18.26Feb 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$24.99Feb 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLAnysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?$62.05Feb 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLAnysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?$170.00Feb 8, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.94Feb 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$12.32Jan 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$114.33Jan 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$143.93Jan 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$100.64Jan 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$157.62Jan 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?$11.48Jan 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$54.56Jan 11, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $99.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.