Legal-Bee
0xf819230043a3f977d59e5e97db16b69dd12ac20a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.91
Total PnL
$-1.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.60
$0.01
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.92
$0.02
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.06
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.10
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.90Apr 27, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$1.18Apr 27, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.60Apr 27, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of January?$1.75Apr 27, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.85Apr 27, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$3.33Apr 27, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.84Jan 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of January?$1.74Jan 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$3.17Jan 13, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.06Jan 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.18Jan 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.44Jan 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.06Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.18Dec 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.18Dec 18, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.38Dec 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Nov 19, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.05Nov 19, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $39.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.