0xf842859353a91bddcf9dfee0c1082365ed03c3c3
0xf842859353a91bddcf9dfee0c1082365ed03c3c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.76
Total PnL
$-22.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.76
$8.76
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
1666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will COM win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 1, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.89Mar 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.27Mar 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.05Mar 1, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.01Mar 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.01Mar 1, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill COM win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.31Mar 1, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill COM win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.02Mar 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?$0.02Mar 1, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?$0.60Mar 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?$0.60Mar 1, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.