Voluminous-Lifestyle
0xf85ad6b0e9bb0760da4bbad657c88b22f2baa2ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$18.28
Total PnL
$-286.53
Realised
$-10.77
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 16?
102 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$9.72
$-0.72
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
387 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 15?
16 shares @ 10.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.19
$-0.52
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
792 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
770 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.48
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
643 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
643 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Morocco?
643 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
517 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 16?$10.91Aug 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 14?$3.67Aug 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 14?$7.32Aug 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 15?$1.79Aug 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?$1.80Aug 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?$9.80Aug 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$9.34Aug 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.08Aug 10, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?$2.27Aug 10, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$13.12Aug 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?$13.17Aug 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?$23.33Aug 10, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$11.54Aug 5, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$4.19Aug 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$10.00Aug 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?$10.00Aug 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$4.20Jul 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 0 England?$4.76Jul 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$19.38Jul 16, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.