Neglected-Warlock
0xf86bbbe86abac1227a972b38150877e870a0f53d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$17.40
Total PnL
$-340.98
Realised
$34.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
60 shares @ 92.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.40
$-37.80
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?
1786 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
583 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
330 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.39
- 150K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
312 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-109.12
- YES
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
215 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
215 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-139.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
90 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
60 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$115.79May 1, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$52.59Apr 26, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$6.93Apr 17, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$43.08Apr 17, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$50.00Apr 14, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$112.43Apr 8, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$20.00Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$32.14Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$50.00Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of March?$10.41Apr 1, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of March?$9.99Mar 28, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.00Mar 27, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$10.00Mar 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$28.32Mar 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$31.00Mar 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$16.00Mar 6, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$3.00Mar 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$8.80Mar 5, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$34.00Mar 5, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$30.88Mar 5, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $20.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".