Cluttered-Gain
0xf86c606c8a360c38037cdab2f81fb5ed2e94ba99
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-46.00
Realised
$26.14
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
75 shares @ 89.8¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.23
$3.99
- NO
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 88.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$55.98
$2.51
- NO
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?
32 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.60
$0.54
- YES
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$28.87
$3.87
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
29 shares @ 75.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.69
$6.77
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
568 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.12
$3.13
- YES
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.85
$1.85
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?
27 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.71
$2.26
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$26.32
$1.32
- YES
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$26.23
$1.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.33Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$25.13Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$3.64Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$25.10Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.13Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.25Jun 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.10Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.49Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.28Jun 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.28Jun 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.16Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.11Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.10Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.02Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.08Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.25Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.22Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.21Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.15Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $25.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.