Worthwhile-Eyestrain
0xf87bfd6edd5826aa45299f33e355e1a8f8d9180a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
83%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
815 shares @ 35.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$338.35
$46.68
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
713 shares @ 35.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.66
$30.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$199.70
$45.70
- NO
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
194 shares @ 78.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.03
$-2.03
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
539 shares @ 33.2¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$148.22
$-30.76
- NO
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
394 shares @ 21.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$120.04
$37.39
- YES
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
84 shares @ 50.2¢·now 87.1¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$72.83
$30.83
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
329 shares @ 32.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$67.42
$-38.80
- NO
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?
74 shares @ 86.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$66.94
$2.56
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$63.00
$4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$14.56Jul 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$5.40Jul 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$53.58Jul 29, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 29?$6.29Jul 29, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$59.00Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$99.00Jul 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$7.22Jul 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$83.37Jul 29, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$178.12Jul 29, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$112.50Jul 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$8.65Jul 28, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$100.00Jul 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$20.43Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$65.49Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$51.00Jul 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$6.55Jul 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$6.55Jul 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$95.33Jul 28, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
41 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $30.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.