Formal-Sight
0xf88b89de6c9d1b419d9155a5a33e22aa7c530ed2
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-441.14
Realised
$-75.65
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$187.80
$4.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
180 shares @ 88.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$166.49
$6.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
150 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$143.25
$9.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
150 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$141.75
$0.75
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
130 shares @ 84.8¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$115.89
$5.70
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$111.06
$11.06
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 41.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$111.00
$29.00
- NO
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$97.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$96.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$94.50
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$1.842h ago
- TRADEBUYComo 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$18.302h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$32.383h ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$20.364h ago
- TRADEBUYTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5$20.704h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$17.184h ago
- REDEEMGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$19.994h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$33.487h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$94.238h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$8.559h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$7.979h ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$1.1110h ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$2.3510h ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$2.3510h ago
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$0.5910h ago
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$18.3811h ago
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)$29.5011h ago
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)$0.5111h ago
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$50.0013h ago
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Rockets$9.7714h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $18.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".