Numb-Conversation
0xf8951c1c217f372e5f5939021c56f9cc5c8b02a4
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$62.72
Total PnL
$-170.27
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
51 shares @ 21.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.85
$-4.15
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- NO
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.55
$1.55
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.78
$0.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 5, 2026?$2.077h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$2.009h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$3.8519h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.0919h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$5.1520h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5.1920h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$5.1820h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.0420h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$1.0421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?$1.0421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$1.0421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?$1.0421h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".