Informal-Colony
0xf8a935b114508f241eb407772c99a8ddbca0092c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$240.76
Total PnL
$-27.61
Realised
$3.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
225 shares @ 44.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$76.39
$-23.61
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
533 shares @ 10.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.95
$3.05
- YES
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$25.50
$5.50
- YES
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$11.06
$1.06
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$7.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$6.13
$1.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$10.16Jun 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$13.22Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$20.53Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.02Jun 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.09Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$10.25Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$20.32Jun 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.02Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.48Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.66Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$4.07Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$5.08Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$5.06Jun 13, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$5.06Jun 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$5.06Jun 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$10.13Jun 12, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $15.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.