Nervous-Tragedy
0xf8aaf11a8b3fa7a2cd611f91e9b1dbbda5b61342
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-373.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
1928 shares @ 82.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.6K
$-36.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$875.00
$45.00
- YES
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
212 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.54
$5.62
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?
450 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-252.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$97.47May 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$154.53May 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$37.90May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$354.59May 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$520.59May 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$4.45May 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$45.60May 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$193.44May 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$127.99May 15, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$34.06May 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$929.59May 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$468.00May 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$49.39May 12, 15:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.87May 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$275.24May 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$12.90May 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$55.86May 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$4.34May 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$135.00May 9, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$420.38May 9, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $219.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".