Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
Probability
21¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$406.62
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 21¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 868h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 868.3h
- 19:42SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 868h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.
Biggest hourly move: -28.0pp at 3d ago (to 20¢).
Show all 42 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -11.5pp → 11¢
- 09:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
- 07:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
- 05:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
- 03:00 · -6.0pp → 21¢
- 02:00 · -6.0pp → 21¢
- 00:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
- 22:00 · -7.0pp → 21¢
- 21:00 · -7.5pp → 21¢
- 20:00 · -7.0pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -21.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -23.0pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -25.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -28.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -24.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -25.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -25.5pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -25.5pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -28.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -26.0pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -23.0pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · -23.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -23.0pp → 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Arne Slot ceases to be Head Coach of Liverpool Football Club for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Arne Slot's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Liverpool and/or Arne Slot, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.