Grounded-Apprehension
0xf8ad84df1ada1985851739077570f994d3d9c303
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-298.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$845.00
$-75.00
- NO
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
502 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$494.46
$12.55
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
439 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$436.37
$20.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?
128 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$119.27
$5.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 1?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.68
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 12?
124 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-114.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?
124 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-112.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 31?
93 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 12?
29 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 31?$98.39Jun 1, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 1?$19.90Jun 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?$38.84Jun 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?$9.10Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?$15.47Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?$30.17Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?$21.16Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 31?$160.33May 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?$3.84May 31, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?$3.84May 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?$2.09May 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 31?$1.28May 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?$1.74May 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?$0.10May 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?$8.90May 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?$4.45May 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 31?$19.51May 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 31?$35.85May 31, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 31?$17.48May 31, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or higher on May 31?$15.00May 31, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".