Wilted-Loading
0xf8d62ecc0b576438d284e0d031f55e6a503f6131
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.53
Total PnL
$-118.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.53
$-18.47
- YES
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
3790 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
3415 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$10.50May 21, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$10.50May 21, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$178.57May 21, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$10.50May 21, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$10.50May 21, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$20.00Jan 7, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$30.00Jan 7, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 7, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Jul 4, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jun 28, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jun 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$381.21Jun 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$24.00Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$300.00Jun 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$10.00Jun 22, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 15?$0.00Jun 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$10.72Jun 15, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 15?$0.00Jun 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$20.25Jun 15, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $71.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.