Striped-Poor
0xf8d6c97ff901c361560a44a39bf2c3a70389df26
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$112.40
Total PnL
$-4.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$100.00
$70.00
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$3.80
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-4.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $190 end of January?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.45Mar 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $450 in February?$2.80Feb 6, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$12.00Feb 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$30.00Jan 22, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $190 end of January?$9.00Jan 8, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opensea launch a token by December 31? $6.00Jan 7, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?$2.12Dec 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.60Dec 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.30Dec 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$6.40Dec 6, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$6.20Dec 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLObama in jail in 2025?$49.74Dec 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.80Dec 6, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?$0.30Dec 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama in jail in 2025?$49.50Nov 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.59Nov 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.34Nov 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.80Nov 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.34Nov 7, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.