Acidic-Architecture
0xf8dd9b5e97b3331dd12aad70f247168f5479ab18
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
167
Open notional
$17.21
Total PnL
$-479.41
Realised
$-23.15
Win rate
5%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.40
$1.39
- YES
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.80
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.21
$0.01
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMParma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5$0.45Jul 3, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$0.15Jul 3, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)$0.43Jul 3, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMCrystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5$0.48Jul 3, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMHellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5$0.48Jul 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.93Jul 1, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$3.29Jun 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$2.25Jun 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$1.86Jun 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.00Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$1.01Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.01Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.03Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 109 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
109 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.