Mild-Swath
0xf8e6cadc633e8cb09350ccce7e6b13eb3ac797a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?
860 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 20?
851 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 5?
774 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11AM ET
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
355 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 23 at 5PM ET?
338 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
254 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 23?
237 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?
212 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.93Feb 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$2.00Jan 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?$3.00Jan 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 23?$5.00Dec 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro receives asylum by December 31?$1.00Dec 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$6.82Dec 20, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.00Dec 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Dec 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.28Dec 19, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.31Dec 19, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on December 19?$3.00Dec 19, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.00Dec 19, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Dec 19, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.50Dec 19, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Dec 19, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".