Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$2.96

Total PnL

$-6.0K

Realised

$-103.28

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 42

FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
3 shares @ 67.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026
$2.96
$0.96
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
101121 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-199.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
11448 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-139.98
YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
9151 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.00
$-599.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
6100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-61.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
4999 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-99.87
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
3379 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-99.98
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
2321 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
2201 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-199.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
1807 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-109.85

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00May 17, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$52.11May 17, 09:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 17, 09:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$102.87May 17, 09:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00May 17, 09:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$104.56May 17, 08:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00May 17, 08:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$209.18May 17, 08:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$207.14May 17, 08:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$205.18May 17, 08:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$868.61May 17, 08:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$210.81May 17, 08:39 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$2.02May 12, 13:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$20.45May 10, 10:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$21.69May 10, 09:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00May 10, 09:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$31.90May 10, 08:53 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$3.05May 10, 07:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$31.28May 10, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$106.21May 10, 03:07 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry36 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk81 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $112.24
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 26, 03:11 UTC
Last active: May 17, 09:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:05:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data