Lumbering-Workout
0xf92f50b6f0462ce39f090dfa7af32fc8b7f51f81
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.43
Total PnL
$-4.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 20.6¢·now 21.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Feb 12, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?$1.00Feb 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$2.00Feb 12, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?$1.69Feb 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$2.58Feb 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?$1.00Feb 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.00Feb 1, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?$1.00Feb 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 31, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.00Jan 31, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$1.00Jan 31, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.00Jan 31, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.00Jan 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.