Harmful-Contrail
0xf95a2aeba8628c70502361bc75e2773b11a1a0c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$685.64
Total PnL
$-220.33
Realised
$-43.16
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
335 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$335.01
$18.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
38 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$38.00
$6.84
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
38 shares @ 53.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$38.00
$17.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
37 shares @ 29.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$37.00
$26.17
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
36 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$36.00
$18.36
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
35 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$35.00
$8.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
30 shares @ 58.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$30.00
$12.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
23 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$23.00
$15.18
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$15.00
$4.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$12.00
$3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.64Jan 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$6.84Jan 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$13.68Jan 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$20.52Jan 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$5.13Jan 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$3.42Jan 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$12.58Jan 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$3.70Jan 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$4.32Jan 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$5.76Jan 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$5.76Jan 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$2.66Jan 15, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$7.59Jan 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$1.65Jan 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$7.13Jan 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$1.55Jan 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$25.92Jan 15, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$17.64Jan 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$26.88Jan 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$28.38Jan 15, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".