Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$2.60

Total PnL

$-72.10

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 56

YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
56 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027
$1.86
$-1.45
YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$0.61
$-0.49
YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.13
$-0.97
NO
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
2215 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026
$0.00
$-3.30
YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
564 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$0.00
$-2.20
NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$0.00
$-2.20
NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
330 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026
$0.00
$-1.65
NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
223 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-4.40
YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
183 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-2.20

Recent activity

TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$15.80Apr 12, 19:36 UTC
TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$9.23Apr 11, 22:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 15:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 15:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 15:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 11, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:25 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:14 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.39Apr 11, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.02Apr 11, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.47Apr 11, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 14:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.84Apr 11, 13:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.05Apr 11, 13:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.16Apr 11, 13:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 13:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.05Apr 11, 13:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $1.01
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 11, 08:54 UTC
Last active: Apr 12, 19:36 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:25:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data