Warped-Sequel
0xf9efa250a4f1c88304781ff341487848b2934ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$12.48
Total PnL
$-9.59
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 69.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.66
$0.66
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Bucks
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YANEZ
Yanez vs. Quiñonez
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 16.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Nov 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 9, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$1.00Nov 9, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 9, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYYanez vs. Quiñonez$1.00Nov 9, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 9, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?$1.00Nov 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?$1.00Nov 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.00Nov 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$1.00Nov 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$1.00Nov 9, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.00Nov 9, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".