Pleasant-Subset
0xf9f3a64e55400433bbfe4ccd3665a2838ccd7ccb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$15.61
Total PnL
$-593.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Kash Patel out by April 30?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.43
$0.00
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 in June?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.00
- YES
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of July?$1.00Jul 26, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.12Jul 24, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.20Jun 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.12Jun 20, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in June?$1.15Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: Other$1.00May 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.43Apr 30, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$2.50Apr 29, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.00Apr 28, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)$1.81Apr 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)$1.80Apr 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 24?$1.38Apr 25, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.00Apr 24, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 24?$1.38Apr 23, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$1.00Apr 22, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.05Apr 22, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Devils (-1.5)$5.58Apr 22, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5$8.86Apr 22, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.