Crafty-Pillbox
0xf9f5711476fb99decfe6350ed7096fb1b05a1832
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$17.72
Total PnL
$-10.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?$19.20Mar 28, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?$9.05Mar 16, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?$13.18Mar 3, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Lakers$22.56Mar 3, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?$4.48Feb 19, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Lakers$15.79Feb 11, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Hurricanes$0.00Feb 9, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Heat$0.00Feb 9, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2KFeb 2, 01:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Feb 2, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2KFeb 1, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Hurricanes$7.84Feb 1, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Broncos win the AFC Championship?$0.00Feb 1, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Heat$18.20Jan 31, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Broncos win the AFC Championship?$2.37Jan 24, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Predators$4.11Jan 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Predators$1.93Jan 20, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMFlyers vs. Golden Knights$8.60Jan 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Golden Knights$3.01Jan 19, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $137.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.