Another-Transaction
0xfa08446e3053d7e919586fa4699c7cdc2750323e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.25
Total PnL
$-2.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.32
$4.32
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$3.35
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$0.66
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.00Feb 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.15Feb 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$1.00Jan 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 26, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.33Jan 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$1.00Dec 31, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 31, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00Dec 31, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Dec 31, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 31, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$1.00Dec 31, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 31, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 31, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.