Buoyant-Margarine
0xfa0bedac7a94e58f08e72a496078ef75ea402a7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-367.02
Realised
$7.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1411 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-142.55
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
544 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-61.73
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
309 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.32
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
268 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.46
- NO
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
261 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-58.55
- NO
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
71 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-12.34
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
35 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
25 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
20 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12AM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.35Apr 24, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$27.57Apr 24, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.40Apr 24, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$79.54Apr 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$43.01Apr 24, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$20.00Apr 23, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$49.00Apr 21, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$14.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$14.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$25.46Apr 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$0.50Apr 20, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.79Apr 20, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$5.00Apr 20, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$5.00Apr 20, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$1.95Jan 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$2.25Jan 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.92Jan 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$1.06Jan 15, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.