Quixotic-Elicit
0xfa12db8c9f899771b51cdf277802d626afd0a799
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$682.83
Total PnL
$401.96
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
291 shares @ 72.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$290.62
$78.92
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
272 shares @ 1.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$272.06
$268.42
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
120 shares @ 49.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$120.15
$60.51
- YES
Will BNB dip to $500 in March?
184 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?
90 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?
11 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$109.78Apr 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$109.89Apr 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?$119.28Apr 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?$119.76Apr 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$139.58Apr 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$139.72Apr 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$149.10Apr 24, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$149.25Apr 24, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$59.64Apr 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.20Apr 9, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?$136.36Apr 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.32Apr 8, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?$79.84Apr 8, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?$79.92Apr 8, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?$136.92Apr 7, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.64Apr 3, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$211.70Mar 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $500 in March?$4.42Mar 26, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$60.00Nov 13, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$70.00Nov 13, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $87.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.