Expert-Needle
0xfa27d82e59e27cf85d995210cd26f6760ac8d1d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-275.38
Realised
$15.31
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?
1022 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.0K
$378.14
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
485 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$485.00
$1.45
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$99.65
$49.67
- YES
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?
13 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$12.82
$4.87
- YES
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.30
$-2.60
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
113 shares @ 51.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.60
$-55.03
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
668 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-301.94
- MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
552 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-176.64
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
381 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-91.44
- GRAMBLING STATE TIGERS
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers
145 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-97.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$12.20Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$289.73Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$301.08Apr 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$318.45Apr 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$319.19Apr 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$330.01Apr 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$316.20Mar 31, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.20Mar 29, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$202.40Mar 29, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$218.40Mar 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$251.16Mar 22, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?$79.75Mar 22, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?$85.25Mar 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?$85.80Mar 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?$269.04Mar 20, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$29.29Mar 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.04Mar 18, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$23.04Mar 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$66.36Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$145.11Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $138.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.