Prestigious-Outset
0xfa2dbcd1b54830e8304cea4884a0dcf1e32cdbcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$-34.91
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$956.48
$166.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
630 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$595.35
$66.27
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.60
$36.60
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
187 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$185.41
$39.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
4348 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
4000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
2900 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-749.99
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $145.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.