Portly-Yahoo
0xfa323e40632edca701abc6c8cf1f82175909bd9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$93.5K
Total PnL
$-166.4K
Realised
$-15.4K
Win rate
24%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30485 shares @ 69.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.5K
$4.1K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22500 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$22.2K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
8000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.1K
$-40.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$-30.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
5000 shares @ 79.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$5.0K
$1.0K
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
5000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.7K
$627.50
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4941 shares @ 8.5¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$3.3K
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
206574 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.6K
$-461.69
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$-22.50
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
6200 shares @ 59.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-752.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.79Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$2.2KJun 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.6KJun 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$4.84Jun 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$27.41Jun 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.02Jun 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$12.41Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$6.21Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$6.21Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.02Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$659.71Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.05Jun 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.73Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$2.5KJun 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jun 13, 05:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$37.02Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$28.92Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$35.82Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$2.5KJun 12, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $690.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.