Royal-Networking
0xfa5214f2ce8265c7eafa5a660412d35d44f9882c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$141.82
Total PnL
$-166.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
126 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$125.60
$23.86
- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.21
$6.21
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1286 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (January 25)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Keir Starmer at the World Economic Forum?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?
75 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$101.74Feb 14, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?$100.00Feb 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.00Jan 21, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$10.00Jan 21, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$20.00Jan 21, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Keir Starmer at the World Economic Forum?$5.00Jan 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 19-25?$1.00Jan 21, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (January 25)$1.00Jan 21, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $28.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.