French-Eavesdropper
0xfa7a06c8e6b27e58f1fd2e11da37a4114607b4fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$195.91
Total PnL
$-434.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.00
$-0.40
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.50
$0.30
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.90
$0.30
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.40
$0.60
- YES
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.60
$-1.20
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.15
$-0.35
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.45
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.46
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.03
$0.04
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.93
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$0.29Jun 20, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$1.35Jun 20, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 20?$0.50Jun 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?$5.03Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?$5.07Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 21?$5.09Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 21?$4.97Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?$5.08Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?$5.02Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?$2.00Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 22?$5.01Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 22?$5.13Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?$5.09Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?$5.06Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 22?$5.01Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?$0.40Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?$5.11Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 21?$5.04Jun 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 21?$2.02Jun 20, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.