Unwilling-Evocation
0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$357.66
Realised
$28.01
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
1350 shares @ 61.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$173.40
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
250 shares @ 78.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$246.43
$49.49
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
250 shares @ 61.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$217.53
$63.78
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
135 shares @ 65.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.38
$22.58
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
209 shares @ 49.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.30
$-5.94
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?
300 shares @ 24.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$78.50
$5.50
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
220 shares @ 12.8¢·now 34.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.91
$46.75
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
55 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.99
$9.29
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
78 shares @ 63.5¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.68
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.65Jul 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.65Jul 29, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.65Jul 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.65Jul 29, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.65Jul 29, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$13.26Jul 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.41Jul 28, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?$0.84Jul 28, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$5.71Jul 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$3.59Jul 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.48Jul 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1.63Jul 28, 09:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.84Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?$5.00Jul 27, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$38.40Jul 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.57Jul 27, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.70Jul 27, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.