Frayed-Tusk
0xfa7f8f5a3b2c4640933921ec32b4f8ff74a2dc59
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$52.08
Win rate
71%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1946 shares @ 22.4¢·now 19.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$369.72
$-66.28
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26971 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$229.25
$-0.97
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1879 shares @ 10.7¢·now 10.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$194.43
$-6.57
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.91
$-9.07
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
578 shares @ 22.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$127.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$98.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.88
$-3.13
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.83
$-4.16
- YES
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$25.47
$5.47
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
340 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$13.94
$-6.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$134.11May 28, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$103.36May 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$20.68May 27, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$30.71May 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)$10.28May 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)$10.28May 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03May 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer$20.48May 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$102.31May 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$102.07May 27, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?$1.02May 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?$2.05May 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?$1.03May 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$448.82May 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$100.42May 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$100.91May 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$100.88May 26, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$101.30May 26, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $83.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".